Thiago Moura Monteiro vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When evaluating recent second serve performance, Monteiro has consistently outperformed Aguilar, winning 46.32% of points compared to Aguilar's 42.9%.
• Aguilar, however, surpasses Monteiro in return game stats, winning 49.66% of their opponent's second serve points compared to Monteiro's 45.39%.
• For first serve returns, Aguilar again holds an advantage, claiming 31.97% of points versus Monteiro's 25.24%.
• In terms of pressure moments, Aguilar demonstrates resilience by saving 52.48% of breakpoints, slightly higher than Monteiro's 49.06%.
• Looking at the performance overview from the past year, Aguilar has a superior match win rate of 68%, while Monteiro has won 47.54% of matches.
• Both players excel on clay, each with a 60% win rate; however, Monteiro has more victories attributed to this surface.
• Considering player levels, Aguilar has a slight edge with a 62.75% win rate in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, compared to Monteiro's 57.14%.
• Analyzing opponent quality, Monteiro has faced a higher ranked average opponent (252.9) than Aguilar (347.16), suggesting that Monteiro may have more experience with tougher competition.
• If the match proceeds to a deciding set, Aguilar is likely favored, having won 64% of such sets in the past year, against Monteiro's 33% success rate.
• Both players have competitive break point conversion rates, with Aguilar slightly ahead at 31.83% compared to Monteiro's 30.39%.

Editorial Prediction (September 14, 2025, UTC):

Examining the recent statistics, Monteiro shows stronger second serve proficiency, an area known for its importance in match predictions.

Aguilar, on the other hand, demonstrates a notable advantage in return games, particularly on first serve returns, providing a potential edge.

Despite Monteiro facing higher quality opponents on average, which indicates tougher competition, Aguilar's versatile ability under pressure, seen in both break point saves and deciding set performances, is compelling.

Given Aguilar’s higher win percentage overall and his impressive performance in pressure situations, he appears to have the stronger form.

Conclusively, considering these aspects and the players' current form, Aguilar is predicted to be the more likely winner in the upcoming match.